A similarly confused criticism often heard is that the Fed is somehow distorting financial markets and investment decisions by keeping interest rates “artificially low.” Contrary to what sometimes seems to be alleged, the Fed cannot somehow withdraw and leave interest rates to be determined by “the markets.” The Fed’s actions determine the money supply and thus short-term interest rates; it has no choice but to set the short-term interest rate somewhere. So where should that be? The best strategy for the Fed I can think of is to set rates at a level consistent with the healthy operation of the economy over the medium term, that is, at the (today, low) equilibrium rate. There is absolutely nothing artificial about that! Of course, it’s legitimate to argue about where the equilibrium rate actually is at a given time, a debate that Fed policymakers engage in at their every meeting. But that doesn’t seem to be the source of the criticism.

I believe the argument is that the Fed shouldn't move the needle of money supply in an unpredictable manner, but instead have a transparent formula that enables incorporation of the knowledge into its state. Personally, I don't know which approach is better, but I think Bernanke is knocking down a strawman here.

Of course, the US had money, markets, and banks long before it had a Federal Reserve.


posted 3311 days ago