UPDATE: https://www.npr.org/2024/04/16/1244962042/npr-editor-uri-berliner-suspended-essay I used to listen to NPR quite a bit. Now I don't. Too little news, too much messaging.
I hear you. But maybe we all need a bit more friction for the good things in life.
Glad I am beyond draftable.
Where’s the evidence of that asymptote?
Imagination is a novel synthesis of information. These things will eventually have eyes, ears, conversations, etc., and multiple models working as one. We will be out-imagined.
This technology is in its infancy and it can make videos from short text prompts and you think its going to look anything like this in 10 years? You could make a strong case against YouTube in 1995. It's not going to make storyboards, it's going to churn out movies and commercials by the millions and they might be individualized for each viewer.
Very true. I'm not expressing an opinion. I'm not sure how I feel about this, and by its very nature, we cannot predict where this is going. But it is interesting at the very least.
Now you see why Altman has been working hard at UBI. I don't think he'll solve that, but he knows we are fast approaching a world where humans won't be worth much on the job market. People are starting to understand. TBH if you don't like capitalism, you should like this.
The performance scales with compute. People are not ready for what is coming. “ It is difficult to get a man to understand something, when his salary depends upon his not understanding it.” This is where we are atm.
I don't think you believe I live in a bubble. Ann Arbor is definitely a bubble, and Biden is very safe here, but I have lots of relations outside of A2. It's a second Trump term. That's not a crazy proposition or a narrative. The Dems thought Hillary was going to win. They think Biden will win again. I think they are wrong.
To you, but have you always voted for the winning candidate? The hard truth is that people aren't nearly as freaked out about a second Trump term as we (or apparently the dems) expect. Biden looks like a strong wind will knock him over, and sounds worse. Trump will definitely want to debate Biden, and he will utterly destroy him if Biden does. Also, no one I know likes Kamala. No one. Biden has no clothes and the dems are pretending he does: https://projects.fivethirtyeight.com/biden-approval-rating/
https://www.reuters.com/world/us/americans-dismayed-by-biden-trump-2024-rematch-reutersipsos-poll-finds-2024-01-25/ The disapproval goes deeper than that in the midwest. It’s also “I’m sick of the dems woke shit” and “he seems dementic”. That’s what friends and family tell me.
I think splitting will be a mess. Michigan, for example, won’t go one way.
All the polls are showing the same atm. The dislike of Biden is strong, nothing like four years ago. The dems simply are not listening.
https://www.cnn.com/2023/12/11/politics/cnn-polls-trump-biden-michigan-georgia/index.html Here in Michigan, this reflects what I am hearing and seeing. I don't think the left wants to believe what is happening. If Pence did what Trump wanted to, different states would have declared to have different presidents. We were close.
If he can't run, he can't run. He won't be on the ballot here in MI if they say so.
Biden is going to lose to Trump and the US is going to split soon after. I will blame Biden for this happening in slow motion in a most obvious manner. My only hope is that the SCOTUS nerfs Trump due to insurrection.
Yes, but I think it's misguided. Influencing others is what happens to successful artists. It is part of the definition of success. What would dance music be without the DNA of Sugar Hill Gang? IMHO SHG is greater for their influence. I do not think that all artists influenced by them should pay them, SHG would just have to pay it on backwards anyway. I don't see content being part of an AI model or human model to be very different. IMHO it's not a matter of it being in there, but how literal the output is. Of course, if an AI is producing work that we'd call plagiarism if a human created it, then there is a problem.
Not a lot. But I wouldn't feel differently.
As someone who paints and writes. I don't care if AI scrapes my work, because humans scrape my work. That's the goal, actually. I scraped the Iliad and Odyssey, and many other works to write Under Odysseus. I scrape George Inness every time I go to the museum, and he's in my paintings. There are no immaculate artists.
Have we not learned a goddamn thing
Paywalled. How bad if 10 is the worst and 1 isn't bad at all?
It's still Wednesday.
Thanks for the update! I'm feeling good about my chances. Global temp is cruising up ahead of expectations, and I don't see any reason to think that we will lower CO2 emissions. My bet is that sea level rise will go non-linear earlier than IPCC estimates due to a positive feedback loop.
Sorry.
Still working.
I hate how NYT says "Silicon Valley" as if it were a monolithic thing. I think Humane is correct that we will be losing the phones, and that AI will take us there. This is so much more feasible than putting a big screen on your face and swiping shit in the air around your kitchen. Steve Job's Apple would have made this device. Tim Cook's cannot. I doubt this will be the device, but I am sick of my phone.