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The funny part is that "this startup is going to fail" is actually a great heuristic for winning a whole lot of bets. If one could figure out a way to place a bet against the success of each internet venture lots of money could be made. Youarenotgoingtomakeit.com each new business puts down say 100 dollars saying they will be successful in 5 years (criteria must be met) after that time we cut them a check for $1000. Most fail we pocket the money $$$ heh anyone in?