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wasoxygen · 1231 days ago · link · · parent · post: A bioterror or bioerror will lead to one million casualties in a single event within a six month period starting no later than Dec 31, 2020.
I think it's quite generous to describe the Rees side as a risk assessment. It's not even 100 words, 3% of which don't pass spell-check and one is an ill-defined coining that does not exclude asteroid strike. It mentions only two numbers, "thousands-even millions" of people, that's four [edit: 3] orders of magnitude of WAG. Neither of the two risk factors he assessed, organized terrorist groups and individual bio-hackers, were behind the pandemic. Rees argues with four sentences: one is an unsupported and non-measurable assertion, one is a novel definition, and two refer to his state of mind! If providing evidence for one's beliefs is a sign of irrational bias, well, I guess that explains a lot.