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I was seeing stuff out of Italy last night saying that people presenting at the ITU over 65 weren't put on ventilators because there were no ventilators to put them on. Italy is at triage. The Atlantic has a wildly speculative piece suggesting Iran has somewhere between 600,000 and 2 million cases. Iran has one advantage over the rest of the world: everyone of fighting age was wiped out in the Iran/Iraq war so their average age is like 30.