The only opinion or conjecture I feel comfortable stating, considering I predicted Trump wouldn't be this dumb less than two hours before he pulled the trigger, is that I'm not very good at predictions when it comes to Trump.
The flip side of "informed the Russians but didn't inform Congress" is "asked Putin for permission and then acted before anybody could catch on."
It appears to me, from this little corner of darkness, that if you wanted to look tough without actually accomplishing anything this would be the way to do it. I mean, you take out a runway and it's out for... how long? Until you can get a cement mixer out.