I try to focus on this bigger concepts, definitely. This is in the context of a self-directed class, so my role is limited to feedback on their practice essays. They get a model answer as part of the process, so a lot of times if it's a lot of substantive issues, I'll just refer them to that. Otherwise I just say what they need to work on most, be it organization, issue spotting, etc. I definitely wouldn't say that they aren't likely; so much of passing the bar exam is not psyching yourself out and/or panicking, so I don't want to be counterproductive. I will say though that while every once in awhile I'm wrong, I usually know pretty quick who will pass and who won't. Pass lists get posted on the internet, so I always make it a point to go through the list of students I had and see who passed.