Anyway, read the article. His grasp of American politics shines through, and he's a statistical genius. And when the guy who is known for always knowing what's going to happen cautions against being certain about what's going to happen, that carries weight.This is the guy that pretty much predicted the presidential election, right?
You're doing him a bit of a disservice, here. From Wikipedia--The accuracy of his November 2008 presidential election predictions—he correctly predicted the winner of 49 of the 50 states—won Silver further attention and commendation. The only state he missed was Indiana, which went for Barack Obama by one percentage point. He correctly predicted the winner of all 35 U.S. Senate races that year.
In the 2012 United States presidential election between Barack Obama and Mitt Romney, he correctly predicted the winner of all 50 states and the District of Columbia.[11] That same year, Silver's predictions of U.S. Senate races were correct in 31 of 33 states; he predicted Republican victory in North Dakota and Montana, where Democrats won.